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2007 Insurance Outlook: Risk Capacity
Still a Struggle
Barring any catastrophes, the '07
property and casualty insurance market is positive for contractors,
except for builder's risk volatility
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Karen
A. Reutter
CPCU, ARM
Senior Vice President
Reutter is part of Willis' national construction practice
team responsible for assisting local office efforts throughout
the nation in sales and marketing, large account management,
including program structure and coverage design, national
carrier relationships, planning and strategy.
Website: www.willis.com |
Insurance trends for the construction
industry generally follow those of the overall property and
casualty marketplace, with some notable exceptions.
The overall health of the U.S. property
and casualty industry is remarkably strong, given last year's
catastrophic events. All indications point to 2006 finishing
as a profitable underwriting year for the industry as a whole,
and investment returns are improving for carriers as well.
The main drivers impacting construction risks are general
liability (primary and excess), workers' compensation and
builder's risk.
General Liability
General liability rates are trending downward for commercial
risks although buyers in all segments, especially residential
contractors, are facing more restrictive terms. Policy language,
as well as interpretation of stated language, is becoming
problematic. This may be the single greatest issue for contractors
in 2007 when renewing their liability programs.
Further, contractors need to closely scrutinize the wording
in additional-insured endorsements because carriers have begun
using specific manuscript wording to suit their appetite,
often at the expense of protecting interested parties. The
definition of "occurrence" is under scrutiny for
construction risks under the business risk doctrine, resulting
in a deteriorating ability to apply "damage to your work"
provisions for coverage in general liability policies.
From an excess standpoint, we observe a lack of continuity
of coverage. Rates also are trending slightly upward for certain
risk categories although capacity is available. Non-follow
form terms and conditions in excess liability policies can
lead to a disconnect in the event of a high-severity claim.
Contractors are finding it difficult to get excess coverage
in the event of inadequate protection under a wrap-up policy.
Workers' compensation, automobile liability and environmental
liability programs are priced competitively. For workers'
compensation coverage, state reforms have provided especially
significant rate reductions in certain regions of the country.
The movement of larger accounts from residual markets to standard
carriers is also a sign of health for this line. We remain
cautious about workers' compensation, however, because of
increasing medical costs as well as the aggregation issues
associated with terrorism exposures.
Professional liability is a difficult placement, with strained
capacity and frequent unwillingness on the part of carriers
to offer adequate coverage for contractors. The long tail
related to construction claims increases the apprehension
of professional liability underwriters. Professional liability
protective policies for owners and contractors are commonly
being placed on a project basis although the markets for this
product are limited.
Volatility in Builder's Risk
The big story for construction risks is the struggle for
builder's risk capacity. This continues currently, even though
there were no catastrophes in 2006 that impacted property
capacity. The volatility of this line has had a major impact
on contractors. The impact of the 2005 hurricane season was
moderate in most of the United States, but for coastal placements,
rate increases of 100 to 500% have been reported.
The lack of capacity, however, has outpaced increased cost
as the prime concern for most buyers. Where coverage is available,
it is not only expensive, but terms are also strict and retentions
are high. This will continue in 2007, especially for coastal
areas as new, more restrictive catastrophe models are developed
for allocating capacity and reinsurers' appetites wane.
Beyond issues related to wind and floods, the terms for earthquake
coverage are also tightening, with reports of 50 to 100% rate
increases, plus higher retentions. Continued pressure from
this coverage will perhaps inspire owners and contractors
to become more cooperative and creative in order to reduce
builder's risk exposures.
Strategies for Tomorrow
While rate trends appear favorable relative to casualty lines,
key coverage for construction risks is not as broad as it
has been in recent years. Contract requirements that had been
supported by insurance products may now be borne by the contractors,
and we expect this to continue.
Many contractors are looking at alternative risk-transfer
mechanisms for portions or all of their risk, another trend
we anticipate will maintain its momentum. Market volatility
has impelled all construction-risk professionals to think
of more creative methods of managing the total cost of risk.
| Overall Industry Outlook
is Positive
While overall the U.S. construction industry continues
to thrive, the balanced growth enjoyed by the industry
for the past number of years is becoming a thing of
the past. The industry is best divided into three categories:
residential (single and multifamily); general commercial
building; and civil and public works. The residential
segment is struggling while the other segments remain
robust.
The relative health of the residential housing market
is very closely linked to overall economic growth in
the U.S. Single-family housing starts have cooled dramatically,
and multifamily housing is trending negatively as well.
Observers point to a slowing economy, with the core
inflation rate reaching its highest point in four years.
Housing starts are down 7.4% while several major mixed-use
and condominium developments have been cancelled or
put on hold.
Commercial trends look more positive. Investments in
education, commercial, manufacturing and health care
segments are fueling growth. Resurgence in electric
utility construction in particular has bolstered performance
in this sector.
Thanks to the federal highway bill and other government
action, public funding for heavy/highway and infrastructure
projects is strong, fueling growth in the civil and
public sector as well.
One factor acting as a drag on all industry segments
is the ever-increasing cost of construction materials.
This has had a major impact on the costs associated
with construction projects and has hindered project
starts in many areas. The average increase associated
with material costs across all sectors is about 10%.
All in all, the outlook is cautiously optimistic, even
if we do see a continuation of the declining housing
market coupled with the rise of construction material
costs. The industry may not be in heavy growth mode,
but all indications point to a stable future.
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